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Publications

Memo – China-Pakistan relations: “China Pakistan Economic...

On the margin of the 2019 UN General Assembly, in a conversation with Pakistan Prime minister Imran Khan held at the Council for Foreign Relations, New York, Richard Haass, the Council’s President, pointed Pakistan as being « on the short list of countries receiving most Belt and Road Initiative investiments » and therefore addressed Prime Minister Imran Khan with two substantial questions: firstly, will this state of affairs not dramatically exacerbate Pakistan’s debt challenge, given the nature of Chinese support ? Furthermore, how does Pakistan claim to retain full sovereignety while inviting China to lead projects on such a scale?

Prime Minister Imran Khan’s answer simply outlined the great opportunity that China represents for Pakistan.

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Southeast Asia Observatory

Democracy, Indonesian Military and 2019 Elections – Dr. Yohanes Sulaiman

by Dr. Yohanes Sulaiman, Senior Lecturer in the Department of International Relations at the Universitas Jenderal Achmad Yani in Cimahi, Indonesia. Production of the Southeast Asia Observatory, cycle 2019-2020, June 2019 Is there a growing militarization of Indonesian democracy? This article argues that at this point, the military as an organization does not willingly and independently interfere in civilian affairs. Rather, the military’s involvement should be put in its context, notably the weaknesses of successive civilian governments, especially Joko Widodo administration, that forces it to ask for the military for…

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Events

Memo – Maritime and Environmental Security in the South China sea: a...

Memo, roundtable n°7, January 24, 2019 from the Southeast ObservatoryWith Prof. Jay Batongbacal (University of the Philippines, Institute for Maritime Affairs and Law of the Sea, Manila)Memo by Tom Eisenchteter In 2014, the People’s Republic of China embarked on an island-building campaign in the Spratly Islands region, building three massive military bases and four smaller surveillance outposts within the span of two years.To accomplish this, it engaged in massive reclamation activities that excavated sand and other materials from surrounding seabed, buried entire coral reef structures and atolls, packed and paved…

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Southeast Asia Observatory

2019 Election in Thailand and Year Forward – Dr. Punchada Sirivunnabood

by Dr. Punchada Sirivunnabood, Associate Professor in the Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Mahidol University, Thailand. Southeast Asia Observatory, cycle 2019-2020, Mai 2019 The 2019 General Election is the first election after over five years of a military regime led by Prayut Chan-ocha. After six delays, the Election Commission of Thailand (ECT) set the election for 24 March 2019 from 8 am to 5 pm. This election decided the MPs and Prime Minister of Thailand. Since the March 24 election, the weeks have been filled with confusion, uncertainty, and…

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News

India’s foreign policy under Modi’s second term: Risks and opportunities

The last five years of the Modi government saw an increased and sustained effort at building multiple but non-exclusive partnerships. These multiple partnerships and engagements embodied by Modi’s numerous trips and hugs abroad were synonymous with India’s long-standing normative and prudent approach to foreign policy that ruffles no feathers. Modi’s second term in office with a greater political mandate is likely to challenge the Nehruvian status quo in India’s foreign policy in an ever changing international scenario. In the past, India as an idealist outsider attempted to distance itself from…

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Southeast Asia Observatory

Abe’s Coast Guard Diplomacy in Southeast Asia – Jay Tarriela

by Jay Tarriela, commissioned officer of the Philippine Coast Guard with the rank of Lieutenant Commander and a Ph.D. candidate and a Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA). Note d’actualité de l’Observatoire de l’Asie du Sud-Est, cycle 2018-2019, Avril 2019 Since 1969 Japan has relied on Japan Coast Guard in ensuring that its sea trade route in Southeast Asia is safe, clean, and protected. Unlike other developed countries, Japan’s pacifist constitution and imperialist legacy made it difficult for Tokyo in employing Japan Maritime Self Defense Force (JMSDF) to perform such roles…

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Southeast Asia Observatory

Memo – Southeast Asia and the BRI – Annual Seminar

Memo of the annual seminar of the Observatory, 21 January, 2019, in partnership with Irsem. With Prof. Jay Batongbacal (University of the Philippines, Institute for Maritime Affairs and law of the Sea), Dr Vannarith Chheang (ISEAS-NTU-AVI), Emmanuel Dubois de Prisque (Institut Thomas More), Dr Juliette Genevaz (IRSEM), Bruno Hellendorf (Egmont Institute & European Policy Centre), Dr Elsa Lafaye de Micheaux (University Rennes 2). Compte-rendu par Tom Eisenchteter Myth versus reality. Enthusiasm versus suspicion. Investment versus debt. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) provokes mixed feelings among the Southeast Asian leaders…

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Southeast Asia Observatory

Transnational Security in the Sulu Sea: Something New or Something Old? –...

by Joseph Franco, Research fellow, Centre of Excellence for National Security, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. Note n°9/16, Southeast Asia Observatory, cycle 2018-2019, June 2018 States bordering the Sulu Sea have found a new impetus to conduct cooperative security mechanisms to combat violent extremist groups in the southern Philippines. The emergence of Islamic State-linked groups highlighted the shared vulnerabilities of Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines. Joint training exercises and intelligence exchanges have focused on early detection and swift response to potential terrorist plots. Nevertheless,…

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