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Southeast Asia Observatory

Transnational Security in the Sulu Sea: Something New or Something Old? –...

by Joseph Franco, Research fellow, Centre of Excellence for National Security, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS), Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. Note n°9/16, Southeast Asia Observatory, cycle 2018-2019, June 2018 States bordering the Sulu Sea have found a new impetus to conduct cooperative security mechanisms to combat violent extremist groups in the southern Philippines. The emergence of Islamic State-linked groups highlighted the shared vulnerabilities of Indonesia, Malaysia, and the Philippines. Joint training exercises and intelligence exchanges have focused on early detection and swift response to potential terrorist plots. Nevertheless,…

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Southeast Asia Observatory

The Strategy and Tactics of Myanmar COIN Strategy since 2010

Along with the recent democratization, the ongoing peace process has transformed the Counter Insurgency (COIN) strategy and tactics of the Myanmar military (Tatmadaw). Political reforms after 2010 created the new dynamic of civil-military relation, shifting paradigm in the COIN activities. Taking off from the old strategy of four-cut policy, COIN tactics vary, depending on the regions. From the conventional tactics with peace process as leverage in Kachin state, use of militia with the four-cut policy is also active in Shan States. Although militias still remain the backbone of the COIN…

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Asia Trends

Asia Trends #4 – Autumn 2018 – Trade Dynamics and Tensions in Asia

Table of contents Trends: TRADE DYNAMICS AND TENSIONS IN ASIA China Confronts “America First”: Recent Developments and Likely Scenarios (Giulio Pugliese) Forging Ahead With a Multilateral Japan (Agathe L’Homme) Indonesia-China “Pragmatic Bilateralism” in a Changing Global Trade Environment (Margot de Groot Van Embden, Kimberley Le Pape) Business as Usual ? China-DPRK Economic Ties Back on Track Amid Easing Tensions in Northeast Asia (Théo Clément) Local Analyses A Historical Moment Yet to come: South Korea’s view on the Singapore Summit Between Trump and Kim Jong-un (Sulmi Park) Perspectives mongoles sur l’Organisation…

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Strategic Observatory of China

Not Stopping Cold: China’s Emerging Strategies in the Arctic – Marc...

By Marc Lanteigne, Norwegian Institute of International Affairs, Oslo China’s Arctic policy remains very much a work in progress. Although Beijing, under President Xi Jinping, has greatly expanded its Arctic policies, both political and economic, over the past decade, there is yet to be an issue-specific governmental plan published which outlines China’s emerging interests in the Arctic (and the Antarctic). Until recently, Chinese policymakers were also somewhat reluctant to publically describe the country’s Arctic affairs except in very broad dimensions.At present, Beijing is working to develop not only a more…

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AT 3 – Spring 2018

An Unlikely Bromance: Trump, Duterte and the Future of the Philippine-U.S....

The paper provides an overview of the Philippine-U.S. relations by focusing on three key areas. First, it examines the continuities and changes in the rhetoric of Rodrigo Duterte’s administration towards Washington since the election of President Donald Trump. Second, it identifies areas of cooperation as well as broader expectations in the Philippine-U.S. relations due to the personal rapport between the two controversial leaders; it evaluates whether there have been any significant improvements in bilateral defense cooperation and, by extension, in Duterte’s relations with China, which have undergone rapid transformation over…

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Strategic Observatory of China

Turkey and China : An Account of a Bilateral Relations Evolution

Note n°22 of the China Observatory, by Mehmet Söylemez Turkey-China bilateral relations have an interesting story to tell. At the two opposing sides during the Cold War and especially having complicated relations on the Uyghur issue, Turkey and China still became strategic partners in 2010. This partnership remains significant in terms of diplomatic, economic and security cooperation. Indeed, China is Turkey’s second trade partner and Turkey has become the first NATO country to hold substantial military exercises with China. Turkey has also declared its willingness to participate in China’s Belt…

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Strategic Observatory of China

China’s Strategic Outreach to Myanmar in NLD Era : New Progress but More...

Note n°23 of the China Observatory, by Nian Peng China has made new progress on advancing its strategic interests in Myanmar by promoting many strategic projects since the National League of Democracy (NLD) took office in March 2016. These mainly include the opening of the Sino-Myanmar oil pipeline in April 2017, the new agreement on the construction of the Kyaukpyu Special Economic Zone as well as the border economic cooperation zone in April 2017, and the consensus on building a Sino- Myanmar economic corridor in November 2017. However, China’s ambitions…

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AT 3 – Spring 2018

A Strong but Ambiguous Partnership : India-U.S. Ties under Trump – Sumit...

A strong but ambiguous partnership : India-U.S. ties under Trump India, which benefits from a strong strategic partnership with the U.S, has keenly approach towards New Delhi. Various representatives of the Indian foreign policy establishment, including former diplomats, experts and journalists, have formerly opined that Hilary Clinton as U.S. President would have significantly contributed to the cooperation and the strategic dialogue between India and the U.S. However, the surprise victory of Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election did not alarm India. Trump’s pro-India stand during the election campaign, among…

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Asia Trends

Call for papers – Asia Trends #4 – “Local Analyses”

Researcher, PhD student, journalist or expert of an Asian country ? You have a good command of an Asian language and you follow the news and current debates in Asia? You are willing to contribute to an Asia-specialised young and promising journal and to join the Asia Centre network ? We are looking for contributors for Asia Trends – l’Asie à la source, a bi-annual bilingual, cross-disciplinary bulletin. Asia Trends focuses on the strategic, political, social and economical issues in Asia and provides an original insight of the current developments…

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